Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.212607 0.247044 0.287171 0.337853 0.400834 0.477428 0.579038
2025-03-02 0.160226 0.202901 0.258773 0.339239 0.455600 0.623613 0.896451
2025-03-09 0.129092 0.173541 0.236774 0.337272 0.501250 0.775352 1.312619
2025-03-16 0.107700 0.151237 0.217122 0.330132 0.533483 0.918967 1.819094
2025-03-23 0.096027 0.140147 0.210726 0.340668 0.597693 1.151644 2.721155
2025-03-30 0.084238 0.126466 0.196863 0.333668 0.625308 1.324642 3.682741
2025-04-06 0.076772 0.118418 0.190675 0.338826 0.679812 1.596573 5.380591
2025-04-13 0.069437 0.109411 0.181006 0.334335 0.710626 1.828869 7.424645
2025-04-20 0.064605 0.104037 0.177016 0.340637 0.771036 2.203433 11.301982
2025-04-27 0.060829 0.100011 0.174854 0.350373 0.845624 2.704339 18.363870
2025-05-04 0.057365 0.096092 0.172211 0.358300 0.919575 3.294845 30.849600
2025-05-11 0.054510 0.092960 0.170661 0.368559 1.007211 4.079715 57.015592
2025-05-18 0.051489 0.089235 0.167458 0.374365 1.086336 4.980550 112.444641
2025-05-25 0.048541 0.085347 0.163366 0.376993 1.157667 6.005232 242.759893
2025-06-01 0.045613 0.081190 0.158081 0.375045 1.211564 7.061683 569.539611
2025-06-08 0.042628 0.076619 0.151231 0.366939 1.236170 7.971727 1391.650916
2025-06-15 0.041096 0.074945 0.150986 0.379066 1.363348 10.388015 13247.191177
2025-06-22 0.038634 0.071045 0.144843 0.371033 1.388186 11.767184 208962.739955
2025-06-29 0.037092 0.069005 0.143039 0.376959 1.492992 14.888663 NaN
2025-07-06 0.035164 0.065943 0.138285 0.371802 1.534305 17.324804 NaN
2025-07-13 0.033942 0.064351 0.137109 0.379041 1.658173 22.592512 NaN
2025-07-20 0.032962 0.063218 0.136991 0.390238 1.821080 31.088360 NaN
2025-07-27 0.031959 0.061941 0.136329 0.399363 1.982806 42.877499 NaN